Naga Tuma wrote:I really don't understand why you want to blame the USA for this situation. There were public reports that a US official seriously advised Meles about having a sea outlet for Ethiopia but he refused.
That's a psychological barrier Eritreans are incapable of crossing, they feel a lot of blood was spilled to liberate Assab and to keep it, so the problem is, if they were to lose Assab they will feel all their brothers and sisters who died defending Assab died in vain. To prevent that sorrow they want to have theoretical sovereignty, but they will never use it to strangle Ethiopia because they know the troubles it will cause.
If the coming Ethiopian leader is capable of exercising prudence, it is not fruitful to cause unnecessary distress to Eritreans by waging war. Just let them be, let the wounds heal, in twenty years all those eritreans who have bitter feelings towards Ethiopia will grow old, the new generation will slowly reconcile for the sake of a better future. No need to widen the wound by starting another war.
But realistically that's not how it will probably play out, the British and the Americans have their own interests, if an old fashioned Ethiopian leader with a martial spirit comes to power, he will insist on liberating Assab and there is no question the west will agree with him. It is the fate of the HoA to go from one war to another, it is just a region that doesn't appreciate the virtues of peace. So yes, war is more likely than a peaceful coexistence.
You know, eritreans are incapable of seeing one truth due to the emotions of the last war, Meles is the last best bet of Eritrea, because he simply doesn't want to harm the sovereignty Eritrea for which he fought all his life. It is the case of the devil you know is beeter than the angel you don't know. Meles is the devil they know, but they doo prefer to bet on the angel they don't know. Yet the danger is, the angel that will replace Meles might be so in love with Eritreans he might even try to force them to be Ethiopians. We just don't know what the future will bring, because we are all busy praying for the downfall of Woyane.