Roha wrote:Will Meles finish Issaias in 2012?
There is no doubt that ato Isaias Afeworq is in big trouble, diplomatically lonely, militarily weak and under UN embargo, not able to buy any armaments, tanks and spare parts to defend his sovereign kingdom.
ato Isaias have lost everything, including 250 thousands of battle hardened young Eritreans who had abandoned him in the last ten years alone. ato Isaias is lonely and desperate on a suicide mission. At this time, there are seventy five thousand young Eritrean refugees in the Afar and Tigrai region of Ethiopia. Another forty thousands are in Israel and one hundred thousands in Sudan.
Isaias will die a heart broken man, just like Gadaffi. Twenty years ago in 1991, the Americans begged him to be the leader of Ethiopia instead of separating with tiny Eritrea of 3 million people and the the two ports. Isaias could have become ten years ago the king of the Horn of Africa and the king maker of the Arabs with 90 million Ethiopia, billions of aid money, Ethiopian resources and the two great Eritrean ports and the resourceful Eritreans well known in Ethiopia . But Isaias is the worst enemy of himself and he will die as a simple footnote in history.
Ato Issaias went to the bushes to "liberate Eritrea" in 1966 but Meles joined in 1975. Isais did most of the heavy lifting for 25 years and he carried Meles on his back to the Minelik Palace in Addis but ato Isaias got zero and history will soon forget him. This is call bad political calculation. In politics, one has to cease the moment and ride it fast but Isaias was not smart.
He lost the political game, soon he will die broke of power, army and a nation.
Meles is hitting shabbia at the most important crop seeding season Kremt time, because of the complete army mobilization Eritreans will not be able to seed any crops. This will certainly exacerbate the starvation and the already weak food security of Eritrea. By the end of 2012, Eritreans will abandon the Shabbia army in thousands, provided that Meles move in ten and twenty kms inside Eritrea dismantling the notorious shoot-to-kill Eritrean border guards.
This is called politics. If you do not play it right and do not respect your own brothers and sisters, you lose everything. There is no second opportunity in politics. Soon, Meles will finish Isaias ones and for all.
Recently, Meles had trained five thousand Ethiopian Afars in a military camp outside of Samara in Dubti who will take over the police and security of port Asab as "Eritrean Afars". Meles has sent two years ago 200 Ethiopians, mostly Tigraians, to india, china, sweden, britain and USA for military naval training on top of what the Naval college in BahrDar is training to take over as new Ethiopian Naval Forces (ENV) based in Asab in the Red Sea.
Overall, meles is ready for action but will Meles finish Isaias soon?